China’s dreams of controlling the South China Sea won’t be met with surrender. Rather, the competition among coercive enterprise for control of these valuable trade routs will be fierce, and will be between five nations, primarily, the United States, Australia, India, Japan, and, of course, China.
|Four Powerful Countries Plan Resistance To China in a Disputed Asian Sea|
A bloc of four powerful, Western-allied nations, intent on keeping the South China Sea open for international use despite growing Chinese control, will probably issue stern statements, help China’s maritime rivals and hold joint naval exercises near the contested waterway this year, analysts say.
Australia, India, Japan and the United States, a group known as the quad, are most likely to take those measures rather than directly challenging Chinese claims such as its military installations among the sea’s 500 small islets.
“Number one, presence is probably going be driven by the U.S.,” said Stuart Orr, professor of strategic management at Deakin University in Australia. “If I were to take a guess, I would say probably follow that by India, with Japan taking a little bit more of the same role as Australia does, at providing high-level logistical support.”
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